More intuitive analysis and projections!!!
First XI, followed by subs
Player
|
Position
|
Fixture
|
Projected Score
|
Hart
|
GK
|
WBA (A)
|
6
|
Baines
|
DEF
|
QPR (A)
|
6 at least
|
Riise
|
DEF
|
AVL (H)
|
2
|
Davies
|
DEF
|
WIG (H)
|
6
|
Pienaar
|
MID
|
QPR (A)
|
5 at least
|
Cazorla
|
MID
|
NOR (A)
|
5 at least
|
Ben Arfa
|
MID
|
SUN (A)
|
5 at least
|
Bale
|
MID
| CHE (H) |
2
|
Aguero
|
FWD
|
WBA (A)
|
6 at least
|
Ba
|
FWD
|
SUN (A)
|
6 at least
|
Lambert
|
FWD
|
WHU (A)
|
2
|
Begovic
|
GK
|
MNU (A)
|
2
|
Kacaniklic
|
MID
|
AVL (H)
|
0
|
O'Shea
|
DEF
|
NEW (H)
|
2
|
Wilson
|
DEF
|
MNU (A)
|
2
|
Begovic (SUN) v Hart (SWA)
I had Hart on the bench?!? Think my GK rotation was a bit off here, which explains me switching allegiance to Krul after this Gameweek. But I'm quite sure most people would've gone with Bego here.
Defence
Looking at attack rankings, looks like Newcastle, Fulham, Everton City Liverpool and United were all projected to concede less than 1, so Riise, Baines, and Davies (with slightly over 1) get the nod here. O'Shea was also slightly over 1, so including him in the first XI was actually a possibility.
Attackers
Based on team attacking rankings, with 3 defenders I should be excluding the injured Kacaniklic. The intriguing decision probably came down to Ba v O'Shea: both play each other, yet Sunderland expect to concede while Newcastle only expect to score 1. Guess I'm not surprised I went with Ba here.
Conclusion: So with a projected total of 51 points, my intuitive projections aren't really making sense (compared to the recent ones at least) or my team management in the past has just been good but unlucky. Will examine in the Verdict later.
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