Tuesday 29 January 2013

Gameweek Summary

Forecasted scores based on Gameweek vs. Scores obtained on actual gameweek. This post serves to keep track of how well I was expected to do in a particular gameweek, and summarises where I have won or lost points. This post is still considered as a draft, as I will aim to complete my analysis based on Gameweek 1 up to the current Gameweek. Will keep things as simple as possible until I come up with something.

Concept:
  1. The purpose of this page is to figure out a trend between obtained score and category of players. If I know how many Delivers/Flops I have, I know how well I should be doing.
  2. Every week I will have Projected scores and actual scores. 
  3. Based on The Verdict, I will pinpoint Delivers/Flops.
  4. Based on Delivers/Flops, I will determine what portion of these players I would like to have in my team. Obviously everyone would like to have Delivers, but with a budget constraint, good rotations are key to consistently good Gameweeks.
  5. There will be 3 tables: One for Scores, One for Players, and One for links to individual Gameweeks. 
  6. I am intending to add a section/table for players to monitor/drop, which is the whole point of this page.

Nomenclature:

GW - Gameweek
T - Transfers
Ps - Projected Score
0s - Score if I didn't make transfers
Rs - Raw Score (before transfer penalties)
As/Bs - Actual Score/Best Score (Playing best players from bench)
D/E/F/G/U/L/I - Delivers/Expecteds/Flops/Gems/Unlucky/Lucky/Injured or Not Playing

*Note: Raw Score, Projected Score and Actual/Best Scores are without 2x points for Captains

GW
T
Ps
0s
Rs
As/Bs
17
1
45



16
3
42

72
64/64
15
1
49
37
37/40
14
2
37
40
36/36
13
2
42
40
36/44
12
1
42
47
47/48
11
7
49
54 - 4
58
34/47
10
3
20
12/16
9
4
43
31/37
8
2
35
31/31
7
2
39
35/43
6
WC


49
49/49
5
2


30
26/27
4
7


38
14/16
3
5


73
57/57
2
3


70
62/63
1
0

73
73
73/75



GW
D/E/F/G
U/L/I
To Monitor (Out)
To Monitor (In)
17




16
4/2/2/0
1/1/3
Fellaini, Wilkinson
Berbatov, Snodgrass, Benteke, Vertonghen
15
2/3/3/0
4/1/0
Gibbs, Cameron
 -
14
2/3/5/0
2/1/0
Cazorla, Silva, Long
 -
13
1/2/4/1
2/2/1
Cazorla, Silva, Maloney
12
11




10




9




8




7




6




5




4




3




2




1


Gameweek 30 Projections
Verdict: Gameweek 30
Gameweek 29 Projections
Verdict: Gameweek 29
Gameweek 28 Projections
Verdict: Gameweek 28
Gameweek 27 Projections
Verdict: Gameweek 27
Gameweek 26 Projections
Verdict: Gameweek 26
Gameweek 25 Projections
Verdict: Gameweek 25
Gameweek 24 Projections
Verdict: Gameweek 24
Verdict: Gameweek 12
Verdict: Gameweek 10
Verdict: Gameweek 9
Verdict: Gameweek 8
Verdict: Gameweek 7
Verdict: Gameweek 6
Verdict: Gameweek 5
Verdict: Gameweek 4
Verdict: Gameweek 3
Verdict: Gameweek 2
Verdict: Gameweek 1

Gameweek 11:

In hindsight, while the score doesn't look very appealing (39, potentially 52 points with transfers and 50 without), the Gameweek 10 scoreline was inflated only by Aguero's 9 points and Mata's assist. I admit that switching Mata to Cazorla was premature, but other than that I feel that the decisions over the last Gameweek were quite sound.


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