Saturday 17 November 2012

Gameweek 12 Projections


Projection of this weeks' points.


First XI, followed by subs

Player
Position
Fixture
Projected Score
Krul
GK
SWA (H)
2 or 3
Baines
DEF
RDG (A)
6 at least
Wilkinson
DEF
WHU (A)
2
Cameron
DEF
WHU (A)
2
Fellaini 
MID
RDG (A)
4 or better
Bale
MID
ARS (A)
3 or better
Cazorla
MID
TOT (H)
3 or more
Nolan
MID
STK (H)
3 or better
Suarez
FWD
WIG (H)
5 at least
Berbatov
FWD
SUN (H)
6 at least
RVP
FWD
NOR (A)
6 at least
Begovic
GK
WHU (A)
Gorkss
DEF
EVE (H)
Maloney
MID
LIV (A)
Davies
DEF
NEW (A)
2

Krul (SWA home) v Begovic (WHU away)

With Newcastle projected to concede 0.966 and Stoke expected to concede 1.42 goals, logic dictates that Krul should be played this week.

Not a lot of choice between the defenders this week, Baines (0.812) is followed by the two Stoke defenders. Reading (1.425) and Swansea (1.9) defense not giving me a lot of options this week, but I'm willing to not have clean sheet bonuses this week as teams with highly rated defenses, namely Liverpool and Fulham defenses are quite unlikely.

In terms of the midfield (attack wise), the picks of the bunch this week are Fulham, City and Everton. Liverpool and QPR (that I don't have) are also expected to shine, but it's my hand in the top 3 that I'm concerned about this week. With only Fellaini in the mix, My midfield looks nowhere near as strong as last week. Then again, I can't expect anyone to have Fulham or City midfielders this week as all their gems are in their frontline, so I can't complain. No one in the Liverpool or QPR midfield stands out either apart from trigger happy Taarabt), but the Moroccan is a differential I'm not banking on just yet.

Based on this weeks' projection, 42 points with 7 players having potential upsides is a very pessimistic score, but having taken an optimistic approach last week and hitting the green, this week's approach should provide more lessons.

What I've missed out on (potentially) this week are the potential attacking returns of City (Aguero, Tevez and Silva) combined with a couple of offensive differentials that are not very popular (QPR's Cisse, Duff and Taarabt). Since I have all the other bases covered, I'm expected everyone to have about the same scores this week, and having only made 1 transfer this Gameweek, I'm optimistic about winning my H2H :)

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