Gameweek Summary

Forecasted scores based on Gameweek vs. Scores obtained on actual gameweek. This post serves to keep track of how well I was expected to do in a particular gameweek, and summarises where I have won or lost points. This post is still considered as a draft, as I will aim to complete my analysis based on Gameweek 1 up to the current Gameweek. Will keep things as simple as possible until I come up with something.

Concept:

1. The purpose of this page is to figure out a trend between obtained score and category of players. If I know how many Delivers/Flops I have, I know how well I should be doing.
2. Every week I will have Projected scores and actual scores. 
3. Based on The Verdict, I will pinpoint Delivers/Flops.
4. Based on Delivers/Flops, I will determine what portion of these players I would like to have in my team. Obviously everyone would like to have Delivers, but with a budget constraint, good rotations are key to consistently good Gameweeks.
5. There will be 3 tables: One for Scores, One for Players, and One for links to individual Gameweeks. 
6. I am intending to add a section/table for players to monitor/drop, which is the whole point of this page.

GW23: The Watchlist

Each week when Shotsontarget publish their stats for MatchCenter, I'll pick the match's "best players" and highlight their most outstanding stats to decide whether they will make the Watchlist.


Two metrics are used here, the first being Key Passes (a pass that creates a shooting chance) and Shots on Target in the Box. Players that stand out on either stat will be called Creators and Shooters respectively, while players who have both are coined All-Rounders.

Watchlist Guidelines: 

Players that go on the Watchlist are Tier 1 all rounders, and some of the top 3/4 Tier 2 All-Rounders. Tier 1 All-Rounders are the most important, pinpointing potential "Gems" for the coming weeks.

The Tier 1 All-Rounders are "Gems" that will be worth PICKING UP if the maintain their stats (and tactical positioning) for 2-3 weeks in a row, and will certainly be the ones that are "worth a punt".

The Tier 2 All Rounders are also potential gems, but they are more of the "shining lights" in a weak team performance and are more likely to be picked up when their team hits form.

If there is no value there then I'll look through some top Shooters and top Creators. I'll also do a quick note on how these top Shooters' and Creators' chances are created in their respective systems, and make a quick verdict on whether to include them in the Watchlist or not.

I'll probably make a "Second Tier" Watchlist as well to accommodate players that are "coming into form", perhaps due to a new system or a new-found confidence.

Finally, I'll have a "Wishlist" for personal reasons: These are Tier 1 Watchlist players that I don't have that I wish to have, which is something I'll use for my upcoming transfer-in decisions.


Here we go. Watchlist last week (GW22):


Wishlist: -

Watchlist 1: Baines, Gerrard

Watchlist 2: Lampard, Lukaku, Benteke, Di Santo

GW24 Projections

I can't believe that after nearly a month, I didn't give in to temptation kept my wildcard. Think the GW25 Projection will be the most important of all...

Pre-GW 24 Transfers

OK I know that the lesson last week was to wait for the watchlist, but with my WC planning to be played soon, I couldn't afford the price drop of Wilkinson, so I transferred him out.

GW23: The Verdict

Wow I've bee putting this off for a while, for good reason. Wanted to wait for stats for the West Ham-Arsenal game to surface, but it looks like it won't be happening. On with it then.

Post-Winter Special: Rotation vs. Fixtures Part 2, Imperfect Rotations

So with part 1 up, hopefully that the format of the post was simple enough for everybody to digest. Imperfect Rotations now will be examined as there have been suggestions of better combinations (such as suggested by FantasyFootballScout) and I will explore too the extent of whether can any of those combos beat the current "Record Holder" of Reina/Howard.


*Warning: This post will contain colors and tables. Lots of staring might be required for you to fully appreciate the content of this post.

Guest Article/Tipping: 2nd half season Fantasy Prospects

A proven FPL player (Acquafresca if you haven't heard) had just presented me with a list of FPL prospects for the 2nd half of the season. While I am a fan of season-long punts, they have to be justified and I will do the best I can do elaborate on these punts.

Post-Winter Special: Rotations vs. Fixtures, Part 1: Perfect Rotations

With the Wildcard period almost over, many have played theirs but are still in the midst of chopping and changing their defence due to offloading their DGW players form the last 2 GWs. This post will serve as a "boxing match", with Home/Away rotations being in the Red Corner, and fixture difficulty squaring up to rotation policies in the blue corner.

*Warning: This post will contain colors and tables. Lots of staring might be required for you to fully appreciate the content of this post.

GW23 Projections

Big games this week, for the big players as well as the popular cap candidates.

GW22: The Watchlist

Each week when Shotsontarget publish their stats for MatchCenter, I'll pick the match's "best players" and highlight their most outstanding stats to decide whether they will make the Watchlist.


Two metrics are used here, the first being Key Passes (a pass that creates a shooting chance) and Shots on Target in the Box. Players that stand out on either stat will be called Creators and Shooters respectively, while players who have both are coined All-Rounders.

Watchlist Guidelines: 

Players that go on the Watchlist are Tier 1 all rounders, and some of the top 3/4 Tier 2 All-Rounders. Tier 1 All-Rounders are the most important, pinpointing potential "Gems" for the coming weeks.

The Tier 1 All-Rounders are "Gems" that will be worth PICKING UP if the maintain their stats (and tactical positioning) for 2-3 weeks in a row, and will certainly be the ones that are "worth a punt".

The Tier 2 All Rounders are also potential gems, but they are more of the "shining lights" in a weak team performance and are more likely to be picked up when their team hits form.

If there is no value there then I'll look through some top Shooters and top Creators. I'll also do a quick note on how these top Shooters' and Creators' chances are created in their respective systems, and make a quick verdict on whether to include them in the Watchlist or not.

I'll probably make a "Second Tier" Watchlist as well to accommodate players that are "coming into form", perhaps due to a new system or a new-found confidence.

Finally, I'll have a "Wishlist" for personal reasons: These are Tier 1 Watchlist players that I don't have that I wish to have, which is something I'll use for my upcoming transfer-in decisions.


Here we go. Watchlist last week (GW18):



Wishlist: Gerrard

Watchlist 1: Baines

Watchlist 2: Aguero, Pablo Hernandez, Marveaux

GW23: The Verdict.

GG.com. Sold Puncheon for Walcott. Just goes to show that greed(?) is good. Annoyed at Hazard owners.

Pre-GW23 Transfers

Skadoosh. The move to accommodate Walcott, Ruiz and Harte didn't work. 5 points between them. Lesson learnt. Going low risk this week.

So the priority of people "out" are Flops, followed by Injured, then Expecteds with Bad stats. Sounds about right.

GW22 Projections

Double Gameweeks. Wildcards. EVERYWHERE.

Winter Wildcard 2012/2013

Wildcard is here BUM BUM BUMMMMMM. Beyond the countless debates on WC teams, there were many thing to consider, and this post shall not be one of them. This will serve more as a record on what WERE considered, as well my "theoretical XI if I were to WC this week.

Factors considered were (a) fixtures over the 2 weeks (b) what happens after Jan and (c) liquidity and transfer plans.

Guest Article: The Double Gameweek Scenario

Another guest article yay. VanTheMan talks about wildcard choices, his personal 15 and the talk of the town on the winter wildcard. 

GW21: The Watchlist

Each week when Shotsontarget publish their stats for MatchCenter, I'll pick the match's "best players" and highlight their most outstanding stats to decide whether they will make the Watchlist.

Two metrics are used here, the first being Key Passes (a pass that creates a shooting chance) and Shots on Target in the Box. Players that stand out on either stat will be called Creators and Shooters respectively, while players who have both are coined All-Rounders.

Watchlist Guidelines: 

Players that go on the Watchlist are Tier 1 all rounders, and some of the top 3/4 Tier 2 All-Rounders. Tier 1 All-Rounders are the most important, pinpointing potential "Gems" for the coming weeks.

The Tier 1 All-Rounders are "Gems" that will be worth PICKING UP if the maintain their stats (and tactical positioning) for 2-3 weeks in a row, and will certainly be the ones that are "worth a punt".

The Tier 2 All Rounders are also potential gems, but they are more of the "shining lights" in a weak team performance and are more likely to be picked up when their team hits form.

If there is no value there then I'll look through some top Shooters and top Creators. I'll also do a quick note on how these top Shooters' and Creators' chances are created in their respective systems, and make a quick verdict on whether to include them in the Watchlist or not.

I'll probably make a "Second Tier" Watchlist as well to accommodate players that are "coming into form", perhaps due to a new system or a new-found confidence.

Finally, I'll have a "Wishlist" for personal reasons: These are Tier 1 Watchlist players that I don't have that I wish to have, which is something I'll use for my upcoming transfer-in decisions.


Here we go. Watchlist last week (GW18):



Wishlist: Gerrard, Ruiz, Walcott

Watchlist 1: Ba, Marveaux

Watchlist 2: Aguero

The Christmas Period, Part 1: FPL Trends

So the Winter break has just concluded as a prelude to the January Transfer Window period, and hence the availability of another Wildcard. Games in December 22, 26, 29 and New Years Day brought many Christmas cheers and fears to FPL managers, and this post will highlight what was suspected that came true, as well as some other anomalies.

I will split this Winter Reading into 2 parts, for the sole reason that the topics mentioned are either heavily biased towards FPL tactics or BPL tactics. This article will be on the FPL section directly. The BPL tactics will come in another post, and I will write about their FPL implications as well.

Pre-Gameweek 22 Transfers

The high risk transfers didn't exactly work out, but at least the points I made were enough to offset the points deduction. Krul (5) + Nolan (0 since I don't have 11 starters with Nolan) + 4 = 9, Turnbull (3) + Fellaini (5) = 8. Just the 1 point loss. This week however, I'm going really high risk...


So the priority of people "out" are Flops, followed by Injured, then Expecteds with Bad stats. Sounds about right.

GW21: The Verdict

Stats told me to captain Suarez. I capped RVP wayy earlier in the Gameweek and forgot to change back. What is with these epic fails...

GW20: The Watchlist

Each week when Shotsontarget publish their stats for MatchCenter, I'll pick the match's "best players" and highlight their most outstanding stats to decide whether they will make the Watchlist.

Two metrics are used here, the first being Key Passes (a pass that creates a shooting chance) and Shots on Target in the Box. Players that stand out on either stat will be called Creators and Shooters respectively, while players who have both are coined All-Rounders.

Watchlist Guidelines: 

Players that go on the Watchlist are Tier 1 all rounders, and some of the top 3/4 Tier 2 All-Rounders. Tier 1 All-Rounders are the most important, pinpointing potential "Gems" for the coming weeks.

The Tier 1 All-Rounders are "Gems" that will be worth PICKING UP if the maintain their stats (and tactical positioning) for 2-3 weeks in a row, and will certainly be the ones that are "worth a punt".

The Tier 2 All Rounders are also potential gems, but they are more of the "shining lights" in a weak team performance and are more likely to be picked up when their team hits form.

If there is no value there then I'll look through some top Shooters and top Creators. I'll also do a quick note on how these top Shooters' and Creators' chances are created in their respective systems, and make a quick verdict on whether to include them in the Watchlist or not.

I'll probably make a "Second Tier" Watchlist as well to accommodate players that are "coming into form", perhaps due to a new system or a new-found confidence.

Finally, I'll have a "Wishlist" for personal reasons: These are Tier 1 Watchlist players that I don't have that I wish to have, which is something I'll use for my upcoming transfer-in decisions.


Here we go. Watchlist last week (GW18):


Wishlist: Snodgrass, Bale

Watchlist 1:

Watchlist 2: Taarabt, Downing, Gerrard

GW21 Projections

I almost forgot. Happy New Year guys.

Pre-Gameweek 21 Transfers

So from The Verdict, the options were either (A) Michu out, (B) Nastasic out or (C) Nolan out. Went with (C) because 1. No alternatives for Nastasic and 2. Michu's tweeted about being back soon.

So the priority of people "out" are Flops, followed by Injured, then Expecteds with Bad stats. Sounds about right.

GW20: The Verdict

Made the grave mistake of not switching captains from Bale to RVP on Saturday. How much will this hurt...

GW20 Projections

New year resolutions all around, but mine is to stay consistent. Minimal mistakes until May.