Monday, 28 January 2013

GW23: The Verdict

Wow I've bee putting this off for a while, for good reason. Wanted to wait for stats for the West Ham-Arsenal game to surface, but it looks like it won't be happening. On with it then.



The Verdict is about analysis of my players based on their score, combined with their underlying stats from a particular Gameweek. More explanation to follow.

This section was actually quite tricky to make because players brought in have expectations about them, highlighted by their projected score. Since this is part of the personal record, there will be 2 tables to deliver the verdict on these players. The first table will be the underlying stats for each player based on their individual games.

Based on these stats, their actual score is compared to their projected score.

Projected Score
Actual Score
Stats
Verdict
Good
Good
Good
Deliver
Good
Bad
Good
Unlucky
Good
Good
Bad
Lucky
Good
Bad
Bad
Flop
Bad
Good
Good
Gem
Bad
Bad
Good
Unlucky
Bad
Good
Bad
Lucky
Bad
Bad
Bad
Expected


The rule I guess, is to keep the Delivers and the Gems, Monitor the Lucky and the Unlucky, and drop the Flops.

Player
Price
Minutes
Key Passes
Shots
Shots in the box
Shots on Target
Assists
Goals
Nastasic
5.6
95
0
0
0
0
0
0
Gibbs
5.7
96
2, 1
0, 1
0, 1
0
0
0
Demel
4.0
95
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
Fellaini
7.6
95
2
2
2
2
0
0
Walcott
9.4
96
1, 2
4, 2
2 ,1
2, 2
0, 1
1, 1
Mata
10.0
96
4
1
1
1
0
1
Bale
9.8
95
0
7
1
1
0
0
Michu
8.3
78
1
4
3
0
1
0
Suarez
10.5
93
5
4
2
2
0
1
RVP
14.1
95
0
2
2
2
0
1
Wilkinson
4.3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Harte
3.8
95
0
0
0
0
0
0
Ruiz
5.4
95
0
0
0
0
0
0

Player
Projected Score
Actual Score
Stats
Verdict
Begovic
2
1
N/A
N/A
Nastasic
2
8
Bad
Lucky
Gibbs
2 + 6
1 + 2
Bad
Flop
Demel
6 + 2
2 + 0
Bad
Flop
Mata
2 (4)
9
Good
Gem
Fellaini
2 (4)
5
Good
Gem
Walcott
8 at least
18
Good
Deliver
Bale
5 at least
2
Bad
Flop
Michu
2 (4)
6
Bad
Lucky
Suarez
6 at least
9
Good
Deliver
RVP
5 at least
9
Good 
Deliver 
Turnbull
0
1
N/A
N/A
Wilkinson
2
0
N/A
Injured
Harte
2
2
Bad
Expected
Ruiz
2
2
Bad
Expected

Delivers: Suarez, RVP, Walcott

Unlucky: -

Lucky: Nastasic, Michu

Expecteds: Harte, Ruiz

Flops: Gibbs, Demel

Not Playing/Injured: Wilkinson

Conclusion: Expected 50, got about 72. Good haul. Everyone who played with their heads this week also got in on the act anyway, it was such a high scoring Gameweek that it was more of a "if you don't get above 80 points expect a red arrow" kind of week.

The Watchlist's Benteke + Lukaku got something back for their investments, not surprised really. Baines and Gerrard from the previous week also delivered, but all face stiff competition in the upcoming Watchlist...

To monitor: Gibbs + Demel are definitely going out for the wildcard. Walcott is proven to be a flat track bully, so now I do have a reason to bench Walcott and go with a Fletcher/Benteke offense.

Also, I am looking to do an overhaul of the Verdict for defenders. Got an idea. 

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