Friday 4 January 2013

GW21: The Verdict

Stats told me to captain Suarez. I capped RVP wayy earlier in the Gameweek and forgot to change back. What is with these epic fails...


The Verdict is about analysis of my players based on their score, combined with their underlying stats from a particular Gameweek. More explanation to follow.

This section was actually quite tricky to make because players brought in have expectations about them, highlighted by their projected score. Since this is part of the personal record, there will be 2 tables to deliver the verdict on these players. The first table will be the underlying stats for each player based on their individual games.

Based on these stats, their actual score is compared to their projected score.

Projected Score
Actual Score
Stats
Verdict
Good
Good
Good
Deliver
Good
Bad
Good
Unlucky
Good
Good
Bad
Lucky
Good
Bad
Bad
Flop
Bad
Good
Good
Gem
Bad
Bad
Good
Unlucky
Bad
Good
Bad
Lucky
Bad
Bad
Bad
Expected


The rule I guess, is to keep the Delivers and the Gems, Monitor the Lucky and the Unlucky, and drop the Flops.

Player
Price
Minutes
Key Passes
Shots
Shots in the box
Shots on Target
Assists
Goals
Nastasic
5.6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Gibbs
5.6
94
0
0
0
0
0
0
Wilkinson
4.4
71
0
0
0
0
0
0
Puncheon
4.8
94
2
4
2
2
0
0
Michu
8.2
96
1
6
4
2
0
0
Mata
9.9
19
2
1
0
0
0
0
Fellaini
7.4
97
0
1
1
0
1
0
Suarez
10.3
93
3
7
4
5
1
2
Defoe
8.5
95
3
7
2
3
0
0
RVP
14.0
93
2
4
3
2
0
2
Bale
9.9
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Cameron
4.9
94
0
0
0
0
0
0
Clyne
4.0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

Player
Projected Score
Actual Score
Stats
Verdict
Turnbull
6
3
N/A
N/A
Gibbs
2
2
Bad
Expected
Cameron
2
1
Bad
Expected
Nastasic
6
0
Bad
not Playing
Mata
5
1
Good
Unlucky
Michu
5
2
Good
Unlucky
Fellaini
2 (4)
5
Bad
Lucky
Puncheon
2 (3)
5
Good
Gem
Suarez
6 at least
16
Good
Deliver
Defoe
2 (4)
2
Good
Unlucky
RVP
6 at least
16
Good 
Deliver 
Begovic
2
2
N/A
N/A
Wilkinson
0
1
-
Expected
Bale
0
0
-
Not Playing
Clyne
2
0
-
Injured

Delivers: Suarez, RVP

Unlucky: Mata, Michu, Defoe

Lucky: Fellaini

Expecteds: Gibbs, Cameron, Wilkinson

Flops: -

Not Playing/Injured: Bale, Clyne, Nastasic

Conclusion: Lucked out here. Thankfully Suarez and RVP both delivered, I somehow managed to get 54 points from a projected 44 is good. Nothing much more to add here, Bale is expected to be back soon and while Nastasic's no-show was a bit of a worry, he does miss 1 in 6 games and I would expect him to start the next 5-6 Gameweeks or so. Part of the risk really. Should've had a better bench.

Most of the differentials jizzed this week. Gerrard, Aguero and Ruiz all contributed, and I'm slightly sore that I didn't move for at least ONE of those differentials, and went for Fellaini instead. Imagine if I went Defoe to Ruiz to fund Nolan to Gerrard or Walcott. So much better.

I've settled with only having 2 or 3 for the DGW for clean sheet chances. Gibbs and Walcott are already in my squad, and now all that's left to plan for is the defence rotation for Wildcards until the end of the season. Another piece on that later.

To monitor: With Nolan's departure, it was encouraging to see Wilkinson and Michu playing again. With Bale returning to the side, Clyne seems to be the only one left not playing. Otherwise the squad looks pretty good. 

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