Friday 28 December 2012

Gameweek 19: The Verdict


In the blink of an eye I moved for Bale. Should I start punting from here on in...


The Verdict is about analysis of my players based on their score, combined with their underlying stats from a particular Gameweek. More explanation to follow.

This section was actually quite tricky to make because players brought in have expectations about them, highlighted by their projected score. Since this is part of the personal record, there will be 2 tables to deliver the verdict on these players. The first table will be the underlying stats for each player based on their individual games.

Based on these stats, their actual score is compared to their projected score.

Projected Score
Actual Score
Stats
Verdict
Good
Good
Good
Deliver
Good
Bad
Good
Unlucky
Good
Good
Bad
Lucky
Good
Bad
Bad
Flop
Bad
Good
Good
Gem
Bad
Bad
Good
Unlucky
Bad
Good
Bad
Lucky
Bad
Bad
Bad
Expected


The rule I guess, is to keep the Delivers and the Gems, Monitor the Lucky and the Unlucky, and drop the Flops.

Player
Price
Minutes
Key Passes
Shots
Shots in the box
Shots on Target
Assists
Goals
Nastasic
5.6
95
0
0
0
0
0
0
Cameron
4.9
95
0
1
1
0
0
0
Wilkinson
4.4
95
0
2
1
0
0
0
Puncheon
4.8
96
1
1
0
0
0
0
Michu
8.3
81
1
2
1
0
0
0
Mata
9.6
92
2
6
4
2
0
1
Silva
9.4
96
5
3
1
1
0
0
Suarez
10.2
94
3
7
5
1
1
0
Defoe
8.4
94
0
4
3
2
0
1
RVP
13.8
93
0
5
4
3
0
1
Nolan
6.8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Gibbs
4.4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Clyne
4.0
96
0
0
0
0
0
0

Player
Projected Score
Actual Score
Stats
Verdict
Begovic
6
3
N/A
N/A
Cameron
6
1
Bad
Flop
Wilkinson
6
2
Bad
Flop
Nastasic
6
1
Bad
Flop
Mata
5 at least
11
Good
Deliver
Michu
5 at least
3
Bad
Injured
Puncheon
2 (4)
2
Bad
Expected
Silva
5 at least
2
Good
Unlucky
Suarez
2 (4)
4
Good
Deliver
Defoe
2 (4)
7
Good
Deliver
RVP
6 at least
9
Good 
Deliver 
Krul
2
1
N/A
N/A
Nolan
0
0
-
Expected
Gibbs
0
0
-
Expected
Clyne
2
2
Bad
Expected

Delivers: Mata, RVP, Suarez, Defoe

Unlucky: Silva

Lucky: -

Expecteds: Puncheon, Clyne, Gibbs, Nolan

Flops: Cameron, Wilkinson, Nastasic

Not Playing/Injured: Michu

Conclusion: I actually have scored lower than my projection. Stoke shutting out Liverpool was always going to be near coin-flip likelihood, but the odds of Stoke, Man City AND Everton conceding all in the same Gameweek suggests that I didn't exactly have many choices from hindsight. However, disregarding the 12 points I lost from clean sheets, scoring 42 from a projected 51 is actually near par. Also managed to pick up the green arrow, but I am 300k away from the gold medal achievement of half a million by the transfer window...

Differentials Snodgrass and Tevez had mixed fortunes. Snodgrass got an A for effort and did ok against a strong Chelsea side, which emphasises that snodgrass HAS to be my new fifth mid. Tevez however, did drop off the way side a bit and my hunt for the third striker continues...

Crowd talk seems to revolve around the double Gameweek (DGW) coming up for West Ham and Arsenal. Frankly I can't wait for the new transfers for each team, there are a lot of January wildcard opportunities now.

To monitor: Michu's injury. Fellaini's return, combined with West Ham's cut-price options for the DGW presents another interesting conundrum... 

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