Friday 7 December 2012

GW13 The Verdict


The reason I'm doing all these Verdicts is that as part of the Big Picture, I'll be documenting who I should have been dropping/monitoring and such, as well as come up with (hopefully) decisions, which was the whole point of this anyway lol... GW13 Time.

The Verdict is about analysis of my players based on their score, combined with their underlying stats from a particular Gameweek. More explanation to follow.

This section was actually quite tricky to make because players brought in have expectations about them, highlighted by their projected score. Since this is part of the personal record, there will be 2 tables to deliver the verdict on these players. The first table will be the underlying stats for each player based on their individual games.

Based on these stats, their actual score is compared to their projected score.

Projected Score
Actual Score
Stats
Verdict
Good
Good
Good
Deliver
Good
Bad
Good
Unlucky
Good
Good
Bad
Lucky
Good
Bad
Bad
Flop
Bad
Good
Good
Gem
Bad
Bad
Good
Unlucky
Bad
Good
Bad
Lucky
Bad
Bad
Bad
Expected

The rule is to keep the Delivers and the Gems, Monitor the Lucky and the Unlucky, and drop the Flops.

Player
Price
Minutes
Key Passes
Shots
Shots in the box
Shots on Target
Assists
Goals
Enrique
5.8
95
2
2
1
0
0
0
Davies
4.0
95
0
0
0
0
0
0
Cameron
4.7
95
0
0
0
0
0
0
Maloney
5.0
45
1
0
0
0
0
0
Bale
9.7
96
5
7
2
3
0
1
Cazorla
9.5
94
1
2
0
0
0
0
Silva
9.4
93
2
1
1
0
0
0
Suarez
10.4
95
0
5
5
2
0
0
Berbatov
7.6
95
2
1
1
1
0
0
RVP
13.7
94
1
5
4
1
0
0
Nolan
6.9
69
1
2
0
1
0
0
Wilkinson
-
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Gorkss
4.0
94
0
0
0
0
0
0

Player
Projected Score
Actual Score
Stats
Verdict
Begovic
2
6
N/A
N/A
Enrique
2
6
Good
Gem
Gorkss
2
1
Bad
Expected
Cameron
2
5
Bad
Lucky
Maloney
2
1
Bad
Flop
Bale
5
9
Good
Deliver
Cazorla
5
3
Bad
Flop
Silva
5
3
Bad
Flop
Suarez
5
2
Good
Unlucky
Berbatov
6
2
Bad
Flop
RVP
6
2
Good 
Unlucky
Krul
2
2
N/A
N/A
Nolan
2
2
Bad
Expected
Wilkinson
0
0
Bad
Flop
Davies
2
6
Bad
Lucky

Delivers: Bale

Unlucky: Suarez, RVP

Lucky: Davies, Cameron

Expecteds: Nolan, Gorkss

Flops:  Berbatov, Silva, Cazorla, Maloney

Injured/Not Playing: Wilkinson

GEMS: Enrique

Conclusion:

With nothing good coming out of offense, Enrique, Cameron and Begovic's clean sheet bailed be out of a potentially embarrassing gameweek. In fact with transfer penalties I finished below par, which shows the difference between good investment (Enrique) and bad (Silva). Suarez and Cazorla, initially brought in as differentials, are starting to worry me as I'm just being thankful that Michu didn't fire. Chelsea's first clean sheet in a while is making me think of investing in Zabaleta, and potentially Azpilicueta.

Moral of the story: Do your homework first. Enrique had good stats prior to this, Silva didn't. Will verify.

To monitor: Cazorla, Silva

To drop: Maloney

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