Gameweek 17 Projections

Something to write today. Yay.


First XI, followed by subs

Player	Position	Fixture	Projected Score
Begovic	GK	EVE (H)	2
Enrique	DEF	AVL (H)	6 at least
Gibbs	DEF	RDG (A)	6 at least
Rafael	DEF	SUN (H)	6 at least
Nolan	MID	WBA (A)	2 (4)
Michu	MID	TOT (A)	2 (4)
Fellaini	MID	STK (A)	2 (4)
Silva	MID	NEW (A)	5 at least
Suarez	FWD	AVL (H)	6 at least
Defoe	FWD	SWA (H)	2 (4)
RVP	FWD	SUN (H)	6 at least
Krul	GK	MCI (H)	1
Puncheon	FWD	none	0
Wilkinson	DEF	EVE (H)	2
Cameron	DEF	EVE (H)	2

Krul (MCI) v Begovic (EVE)

Picking Bego as the lesser of two evils really. I sincerely would've wished for a Reina or a Howard or even a Szczecny but my FT was burnt on Rafael which had significantly more long term value.

Defenders

To triple up or not to triple up? Stat projections say nay, and this week I shall heed thy advice, especially since all 3 of my starters are projected to keep cleanies. I've never had an optimistic score before, so given that pessimistic projections usually give decent defensive returns, I will be keenly looking at how optimistic projections fare.

Attackers

Defoe didn't do anything. Berba didn't do anything. But Berba had the better stats. And for that I am kicking myself. Gotta stick to my guns though, so since I'm playing 3 defenders, Puncheon's no-game lets the front 7 pick itself really.

A couple of attackers this week have a projected score of 4. I'm not quite sure whether that translates into 5 or 3, so this week will give us a better clue as to what 4 projected points mean.

Differentials this week are ... probably the "Gems" on my Watchlist that have good fixtures this Gameweek. Snodgrass v Wigan, Berba v QPR, Vertonghen v Swansea, heck even Rooney v Sunderland sounds enticing. Wish I could take hits for all of them, but experience suggests that it only takes 1 failure to ruin the whole plan.

On an intriguing note, a move of Krul, Silva, Wilko, Cameron and Defoe to Rooney, Snodgrass, Baker, Vertonghen and Bunn is actually a possible move (for a 20 point penalty). Will see how that pans out and I'll include that as an extra in the verdict.

So with a projection of 45 points this week with a decent amount of upside, this is like a big week for me due to the lack of double GW players I had last week. Last week a projection of 46 gave me 58 (without captaincy) so this week I'm probably expecting a score of around the same.