Thursday 13 December 2012

GW 10 Projections


And this is where the digging starts. Once again, these are just projections. They do not necessarily have to be accurate, but if they are not, at least I can get a clue from how far off projections can be, as  well as how "accurate" projections can be at the start of the season (since I'm working backwards). I'll spend as little time as possible for Gameweeks 1 to 10 and the Verdict will probably be more important, but they're all linked to each other one way or another. So here we go.

First XI, followed by subs

Player
Position
Fixture
Projected Score
Begovic
GK
NOR (A)
-
Baines
DEF
FUL (A)
-
O'Shea
DEF
AVL (H)
-
Cameron
DEF
NOR (A)
-
Mata
MID
SWA (A)
5 at least
Bale
MID
WIG (H)
6 at least
Ben Arfa
MID
LIV (A)
2
Sterling
MID
NEW (H)
2
Aguero
FWD
WHU (A)
6 at least
Ba
FWD
LIV (A)
2 (4)
Defoe
FWD
WIG (H)
6 at least
Krul
GK
LIV (A)
2
Riise
DEF
EVE (H)
-
Nolan
MID
MCI (H)
2
Davies
DEF
CHE (H)
-

Begovic (nor) v Krul (liv)

Turns out that this week only player forecasts were out. Can't do much about that then. I've put down away games as 2 pointers so with both keepers projected to be 2, Bego gets the nod since I have Liverpool players.

Defence

Home games got priority here, so Baines and O'Shea get first pick. Between Cameron Riise and Davies however, I would expect all 3 to produce 2 to make things convenient, considering their opponents attacking prospects.

Nolan v the front 7

Stats suggest that Ben Arfa should have been dropped for this game. I did otherwise. 9 times out of 10 this would've been a mistake, but it's probably the difference between 2 points and 3.

Conclusion: So with a projected total of 37 points, I should be expecting a below-par gameweek.

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