Tuesday 11 December 2012

GW16: The Verdict


3 hits this week. Michu, Fellaini and Defoe came in with a combined prise rise of 0.8 while Bale, Cazorla and Long all went out as injury concerns/failed buys. Theoretically, I should have sold Silva instead of Cazorla. I admit that I have made a grave mistake potentially, but here are the stats to verify that I did:



The Verdict is about analysis of my players based on their score, combined with their underlying stats from a particular Gameweek. More explanation to follow.

This section was actually quite tricky to make because players brought in have expectations about them, highlighted by their projected score. Since this is part of the personal record, there will be 2 tables to deliver the verdict on these players. The first table will be the underlying stats for each player based on their individual games.

Based on these stats, their actual score is compared to their projected score.

Projected Score
Actual Score
Stats
Verdict
Good
Good
Good
Deliver
Good
Bad
Good
Unlucky
Good
Good
Bad
Lucky
Good
Bad
Bad
Flop
Bad
Good
Good
Gem
Bad
Bad
Good
Unlucky
Bad
Good
Bad
Lucky
Bad
Bad
Bad
Expected


The rule I guess, is to keep the Delivers and the Gems, Monitor the Lucky and the Unlucky, and drop the Flops.

Player
Price
Minutes
Key Passes
Shots
Shots in the box
Shots on Target
Assists
Goals
Enrique
6.1
27
0
0
0
0
0
0
Gibbs
5.4
95
1
0
0
0
0
0
Cameron
4.7
94
0
0
0
0
0
0
Nolan
6.9
97
0
1
1
0
0
0
Michu
7.9
95
1
8
6
2
0
2
Fellaini
7.8
96
1
3
2
1
0
0
Silva
9.4
97
1
3
3
3
0
0
Puncheon
4.6
93
0
4
2
2
0
1
Defoe
8.4
85
1
1
1
0
0
0
RVP
13.8
97
0
5
2
1
0
1
Suarez
-

0
0
0
0
0
0
Wilkinson
-

0
0
0
0
0
0
Gorkss
-

0
0
0
0
0
0

Player
Projected Score
Actual Score
Stats
Verdict
Begovic
6
7
N/A
N/A
Enrique
2
1
Injured
Injured
Gibbs
2
8
Bad
Lucky
Cameron
6
6
Good
Deliver
Nolan
2
2
Bad
Expected
Michu
5
12
Good
Deliver
Fellaini
5
2
Bad
Flop
Silva
5
2
Good
Unlucky
Puncheon
5
11
Good
Deliver
Defoe
2
1
Bad
Expected
RVP
6
6
Good 
Deliver 
Krul
2
2
N/A
N/A
Suarez
0
0
Suspended
Not Playing
Wilkinson
0
0
Injured
Injured
Gorkss
0
0
Not Playing
Flop

Delivers: Cameron, Michu, Puncheon, RVP

Unlucky: Silva

Lucky: Gibbs

Expecteds: Nolan, Defoe,

Flops: Gorkss, Fellaini

Not Playing/Injured: Suarez, Wilkinson, Enrique

Conclusion: This was an interesting week. Enrique was subbed off for precautionary measures, yet the starting XI produced a score on the first day that well exceeded my expectations. With only 1 "Lucky" in for this GW, I will certainly be sweating over Enrique's fitness.

At this point of time, I have already transferred out a flop (Gorkss) for Rafael, so fingers crossed that I won't have to tinker much more for Christmas (please Silva start scoring, your stats are actually picking up for once)

As for comparisons with last week's transfers, Cazorla picked up 6, Long 2 and Bale 0. Michu 12, Defoe 1 and Fellaini 2 gave me 15, which is about the same as the cost of the old transfers +8 (3 hits), so with a score of 15(with) to 16 (without) I gained the advantage here by capping Michu over (theoretically) Cazorla, which gave me the extra 6 points over my decision to stick.

To monitor: Fellaini, Wilkinson

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