Friday 14 December 2012

GW1 Projections

GW1 projections are usually more intuitive than anything, especially since we have virtually 0 data on new players. So, with intuitive choices come intuitive projections. PLFantasy has 10GW forecasts up, but nothing on CS or attacking rankings (obviously) so perhaps I'll just



First XI, followed by subs

Player
Position
Fixture
Projected Score
Cech
GK
WIG (A), RDG (H)
4
A Cole
DEF
WIG (A), RDG (H)
4
Lescott
DEF
SOU (H)
2
Tierney
DEF
QPR (H)
Yaya Toure
MID
SOU (H)
7 at least
Kagawa
MID
EVE (A)
2
N'Zogbia
MID
WHU (H)
2
Michu
MID
QPR (A)
2
Petric
FWD
NOR (H)
6 at least
Torres
FWD
WIG (A), RDG (H)
6 at least
Aguero
FWD
SOU (H)
6 at least
Jaaskelainen
GK
AVL (H)
2
Brunt
MID
LIV (H)
2
Figueroa
DEF
CHE (H)
2
Barnett
DEF
FUL (A)
2

Jaaskelainen (AVL) v Cech (wig, SOU)

Cech gets the nod for 2 games.

Defence

So the strategy for GW1 (since I don't have stat projections I will go with my strat for projected points) is to go with 2 "big" defenders, which I have chosen Lescott and Cole for the next 3-4 GWs or so. The 3rd defender is based on a rotation sheet I picked up a couple of weeks backand I have chosen to stick with NOR, WIG and QPR. Surely enough, NOR defenders are to start this week.

Attackers

The strategy for GW1 (beyond the 3 Chelsea and 3 City players) was to have players that played against promoted teams. That leaves owning players from MCI, FUL and CHE. Petric was a guaranteed pick given his pre-season form, and my differentials are Michu, N'Zogbia and Kagawa.

Conclusion: 41 points predicted here based on defence all not keeping clean sheets and all of the front 3 scoring, with Yaya getting a goal probably.

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