Friday 5 April 2013

GW31: The Verdict

Time to motor. The most important of the 3 articles is after this.


The Verdict is about analysis of my players based on their score, combined with their underlying stats (credit to ShotsonTarget) from a particular Gameweek.

This section was actually quite tricky to make because players brought in have expectations about them, highlighted by their projected score. Since this is part of the personal record, there will be 2 tables to deliver the verdict on these players. The first table will be the underlying stats for each player based on their individual games.

Based on these stats, their actual score is compared to their projected score, and based on their stats a Verdict is given.

Projected Score
Actual Score
Stats
Verdict
Good
Good
Good
Deliver
Good
Bad
Good
Unlucky
Good
Good
Bad
Lucky
Good
Bad
Bad
Flop
Bad
Good
Good
Gem
Bad
Bad
Good
Unlucky
Bad
Good
Bad
Lucky
Bad
Bad
Bad
Expected


The rule is to keep the Delivers and the Gems, Monitor the Lucky and the Unlucky, and drop the Flops.

Player
Price
Minutes
Key Passes
Shots
Shots in the box
Shots on Target
Assists
Goals
Turner
4.2
94
0
0
0
0
0
0
Enrique
6.0
94
0
0
0
0
0
0
Zabaleta
6.2
93
0
1
1
0
0
0
Mata
9.5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Walcott
8.8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Cazorla
9.6
94
2
6
5
1
1
1
Bale
10.9
96
1
6
3
3
1
1
RVP
13.6
97
1
7
6
4
0
0
Suarez
11.2
94
3
9
8
4
0
0
Benteke
7.2
94
0
3
2
2
0
1
Jenas
4.2
96
0
3
0
0
0
0
Wilson
3.9
94
0
1
0
0
0
0
Clyne
4.2
95
0
0
0
0
0
0

Player
Projected Score
Actual Score
Stats
Verdict
De Gea
6
6
N/A
N/A
Zabaleta
6
6
Bad
Lucky
Enrique
2
2
Bad
Expected
Turner
2
2
Bad
Expected
Mata
2 (4)
0
N/A
Not Playing
Cazorla
6
12
Good
Deliver
Walcott
0
0
N/A
Injured
Bale
6
13
Good
Deliver
RVP
6
7
Good
Deliver
Suarez
6
6
Good
Deliver
Benteke
2 (4)
6
Good
Gem
Boruc
2
1
N/A
N/A
Jenas
2
2
Bad
Expected
Wilson
2
2
Bad
Expected
Clyne
2
2
Bad
Expected

Delivers: Cazorla, Bale, RVP, Suarez

Unlucky: -

Lucky: Zabaleta

Expecteds: Enrique, Turner, Jenas, Wilson, Clyne

Flops: Suarez, Walcott

Not Playing/Injured: Mata, Walcott

Gem: Benteke

Conclusion: 64 points from an expected 40 plus is a pretty good haul. All the big hitters THAT PLAYED delivered. Would have been interesting if I managed to have say, Silva and Michu playing instead of Walcott and Mata. A severely more diverse team would've easily scored in and around the 80s and while I am semi-satisfied, this Gameweek saw me gaining a satisfactory 50k places among dead teams, which is progress that I have to harshly call a lost opportunity.

Since I'm not able to do Watchlists this week, I'll just touch quickly on those that delivered this week. Strange thing about this week is that almost all the usual suspects delivered.

RVP, Caz, Bale, Suarez, Baines (CS), Berba, Silva, Tevez, and Michu all delivered,

while punts such as

Kone, Carroll, Lukaku, Lambert, Remy, Mirallas, Giroud, Agbonlahor and Gerrard

all got offensive returns. What is really pleasing to see that anyone who HAS been keeping up with the game would have at least got something in return (compared to the dead teams who have Hazard and Torres say). Having said that, a very odd observation is that almost whatever 3 forwards put out this week would've profited (bar Rooney, where you'd be considered really unlucky really) and the midfield is where the punts really would've gained ground. Silva and Gerrard were the only real standouts here, and while owning Caz and Bale would've given you a good "core" score, owning Silva and Gerrard, on top of whatever cheap forwards would have launched you really, really high up.

To monitor: I give up. Quite literally. Thankfully I'm doing the Verdict after finding out Bale is injured. Imagine if I sent Mata out before the Europa League games. 

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