Sunday 3 March 2013

GW26: The Verdict


And we keep rolling. Theme of this week was Liverpool and Swansea's DGW, and here are the results.



The Verdict is about analysis of my players based on their score, combined with their underlying stats from a particular Gameweek. More explanation to follow.

This section was actually quite tricky to make because players brought in have expectations about them, highlighted by their projected score. Since this is part of the personal record, there will be 2 tables to deliver the verdict on these players. The first table will be the underlying stats for each player based on their individual games.

Based on these stats, their actual score is compared to their projected score.

Projected Score
Actual Score
Stats
Verdict
Good
Good
Good
Deliver
Good
Bad
Good
Unlucky
Good
Good
Bad
Lucky
Good
Bad
Bad
Flop
Bad
Good
Good
Gem
Bad
Bad
Good
Unlucky
Bad
Good
Bad
Lucky
Bad
Bad
Bad
Expected


The rule is to keep the Delivers and the Gems, Monitor the Lucky and the Unlucky, and drop the Flops.

Player
Price
Minutes
Key Passes
Shots
Shots in the box
Shots on Target
Assists
Goals
Enrique
5.8
96
0, 0
0, 1
0, 1
0, 1
0, 0
0, 1
Davies
4.7
94
1
0
0
0
0
0
Zabaleta
6.2
96
0
1
1
0
0
0
Fellaini
7.7
94
0
1
1
0
0
0
Walcott
9.5
87
2
5
4
3
1
0
Mata
10.1
18
1
0
0
0
0
0
Gerrard
9.8
96
4, 4
4, 5
2, 1
2, 1
0, 0
0, 1
Suarez
10.9
96
3, 4
7, 8
4, 6
0, 4
0, 1
0, 1
Benteke
6.8
95
2
3
2
2
0
1
RVP
14.0
94
1
3
3
1
1
1
Taarabt
5.8
94
4
4
1
1
0
0
Turner
4.2
95
1
0
0
0
0
0
Clyne
4.1
96
0
1
0
0
0
0

Player
Projected Score
Actual Score
Stats
Verdict
Federici
2
3
N/A
N/A
Enrique
6, 6
1, 18
Good
Deliver
Davies
6, 2
1, 0
Bad
Flop
Zabaleta
2
4
Bad
Lucky
Mata
5
1
Bad
Not Playing
Fellaini
2 (4)
1
Bad
Expected
Walcott
5
7
Good
Deliver
Gerrard
8
0, 8
Good
Deliver
Suarez
12
1, 14
Good
Deliver
Benteke
2 (4)
8
Good
Gem
RVP
6 at least
12
Good
Deliver
Boruc
2
1
N/A
N/A
Taarabt
2
4
Bad
Lucky
Turner
2
8
Bad
Lucky
Clyne
2
2
Bad
Expected

Delivers: Enrique, Walcott, Gerrard, Suarez, RVP

Unlucky:

Lucky: Zabaleta, Turner, Taarabt

Expecteds: Fellaini, Clyne

Flops: Davies

Not Playing/Injured: Mata

Gem: Benteke

Conclusion: Umm I really have to remind myself that when stats come up with figures, I can't ignore it. I took Fellaini's goal record against United too seriously. That was probably down to fear. I took QPR too lightly for Davies. That was greed talking.

To monitor: Davies' returns. Will need another away game to see how defensively sound Swansea actually are. 

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