Sunday 3 March 2013

GW27: The Verdict


Right, catch up time. GW27 saw one of my worst nightmares come to life, but we learn don't we.



The Verdict is about analysis of my players based on their score, combined with their underlying stats from a particular Gameweek. More explanation to follow.

This section was actually quite tricky to make because players brought in have expectations about them, highlighted by their projected score. Since this is part of the personal record, there will be 2 tables to deliver the verdict on these players. The first table will be the underlying stats for each player based on their individual games.

Based on these stats, their actual score is compared to their projected score.

Projected Score
Actual Score
Stats
Verdict
Good
Good
Good
Deliver
Good
Bad
Good
Unlucky
Good
Good
Bad
Lucky
Good
Bad
Bad
Flop
Bad
Good
Good
Gem
Bad
Bad
Good
Unlucky
Bad
Good
Bad
Lucky
Bad
Bad
Bad
Expected


The rule is to keep the Delivers and the Gems, Monitor the Lucky and the Unlucky, and drop the Flops.

Player
Price
Minutes
Key Passes
Shots
Shots in the box
Shots on Target
Assists
Goals
Clyne
4.1
95
1
0
0
0
0
0
Turner
4.2
95
0
0
0
0
0
0
Zabaleta
6.2
96
0
1
1
0
0
0
Fellaini
7.8
95
1
3
0
0
0
0
Walcott
9.6
92
4
4
4
1
0
0
Mata
10.1
96
2
0
0
0
0
0
Bale
10.2
95
6
10
2
6
0
2
Taarabt
5.8
94
2
5
1
0
0
0
Benteke
7.0
95
0
2
2
0
0
0
RVP
14.0
41
0
1
1
1
0
0
Enrique
5.8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Suarez
10.5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Davies
4.5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

Player
Projected Score
Actual Score
Stats
Verdict
Federici
2
2
N/A
N/A
Clyne
2
0
Bad
Expected
Turner
2
2
Bad
Expected
Zabaleta
2
5
Bad
Lucky
Mata
2 (4)
2
Bad
Expected
Fellaini
2 (4)
2
Bad
Expected
Walcott
6
2
Good
Unlucky
Bale
5
15
Good
Deliver
Taarabt
2 (4)
2
Bad
Expected
Benteke
2 (4)
2
Bad
Expected
RVP
6 at least
4
Bad
Lucky
Boruc
0
1
N/A
N/A
Enrique
0
0
N/A
Not Playing
Suarez
0
0
N/A
Not Playing
Davies
0
0
N/A
Not Playing

Delivers: Bale

Unlucky: Walcott

Lucky: Zabaleta

Expecteds: Everyone Else

Flops:

Not Playing/Injured: Enrique, Suarez, Davies

Conclusion: OK, there is a lesson here... When looking at a 2(4) score, expect 2. So I should have expected 33 and I got 28. I mean sure why not? Looks like the captain choice was the difference this week, and with that foundation unfortunately I didn't take it.

To monitor: Mata hasn't delivered in a while. I wonder what's up with Chelsea.

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