Premier League 2015/16 Lessons In Hindsight, Gameweek 1

Premier League 2015/16 Lessons In Hindsight is part of a series that forces me to look at the ugly face in the mirror and determine what to let go of past history and what to bring into next season. Gameweek 1 is a post-mortem of the results, as well as picking out numbers to monitor for GW3-deadline action.
Results & Analysis: This format has been done before.

Projected Score	Actual Score	FPL KPI	Verdict
Good	Good	Good	Deliver
Good	Bad	Decent/Good	Unlucky
Good	Good	Bad	Lucky
Good	Bad	Bad	Flop
Bad	Good	Good	Gem
Bad	Bad	Good	Unlucky
Bad	Good	Bad	Lucky
Bad	Bad	Bad	Expected

Gameweek 1 Results:

29 Points.

The rule is to keep the Delivers and the Gems, Monitor the Lucky and the Unlucky, and drop the Flops.

Player	Minutes		Influence		Numbers		Verdict
	Exp	Act	Predicted	Actual	Predicted	Actual
Pantilimon	90	90	N/A	Yes	>3 Saves	4	Unlucky
Ivanovic	90	90	CS or Attk	Poor	C, S	3C, 3/0S	Unlucky
Wollcsheid	90	90	Chance of CS	Expected	Def Stats	3SOTC	Unlucky
Cedric	90	45	Chance of CS or Attk	Quiet	C	2KP, 2C	Unlucky
Hazard	90	90	Attk	Quiet	KP, S	2KP, 1/1S	Flop
Fabregas	90	75	Attk	Quiet	KP	1KP	Flop
Ozil	90	90	Attk	Quiet	KP or S	4KP	Expected
Silva	90	90	Attk	Influential	KP	4KP	Deliver
B. Johnson	90	90	Chance of Attk	Top Shooter	S	0/4/1	Unlucky
Pelle	90	90	Chance of Attk	Influential	S	2/1	Deliver
Wilson	90	90	Chance of Attk	Wasteful	S	2/1	Expected
Hennessey	0	0	Bench	Benched	Bench	-	Expected
Sakho	90	90	Chance of Attk	Decent	S	2/1	Expected
Mings	90	0	Bench	Benched	Bench	-	Flop
Jenkinson	0	0	Bench	Ineligible	Bench	-	Expected

Verdict

Delivers: Silva, Pelle

Unlucky: Pantilimon, the entire defense, Johnson,

Lucky: None

Expected: Sakho, Wilson, Ozil

Flops: Hazard, Fabregas

Not Playing/Injured: Mings, Hennessey

Gem: None

1 Line reviews of players:

• NOR/CPL: Johnson Wasteful
• CHE/SWA: Fab quiet, Hazard influential but poor, Ivanovic exposed
• BOU/AVL: Bournemouth wasteful
• STK/LIV: Wollscheid concedes to a wonder goal
• NEW/SOU: Pelle in form, Cedric's crossing decent
• WBA/MCI: Silva influential
• ARS/WHU: West Ham defend & Counterattack well, all of Arsenal quiet without Sanchez

Afterthoughts

Perhaps players that were "on song" could have been monitored for a transfer in according to the "hot hand" policy. The list included:

• Ighalo
• Kone
• Mahrez
• Vardy
• Defoe
• Ayew
• Gomis
• Payet
• Cisse
• Yaya Toure

That's a long list. Probably worth it that one more week's data is gathered.

Action

This week was the "no move week" which gives Hazard & Fabregas another chance to prove themselves.